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Fri August 17 2018

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News » US » Construction spending falls from May’s record high » published 2 Aug 2018

Construction spending falls from May’s record high

June saw a decline of 1.1% in construction spending from May’s record level but there were widespread gains in the first half of the year, according to a new analysis by Associated General Contractors of America (AGC).

AGC officials said the relatively strong construction spending figures in the latest government data show how recent tax and regulatory reforms are helping boost demand for construction.

“There appears to be plenty of demand for construction despite the drop in spending reported for June,” said Ken Simonson, the association's chief economist. “The estimate for May, which was already a record high, was revised sharply upward, as were numbers for April. These revisions show that the June total may be higher than initially reported and that it is wiser to focus on longer-term trends, such as the year-to-date totals for the first half of 2018 compared with the same period in 2017. Those numbers show a healthy increase in spending.”

Despite the decline from May, construction spending in the first six months of 2018 combined was 5.1% higher than in January through June 2017, he pointed out. For the month, public construction spending slumped 3.5%, private residential spending decreased 0.5%, and private non-residential construction spending slipped 0.3%. On a year-to-date basis, in contrast, public construction spending climbed 4.7%, private residential spending grew 8.3%, and private non-residential construction spending edged up 1.8%

Among public infrastructure spending categories, the largest segment - highway and street construction - increased 4.2% on a year-to-date basis. Educational construction inched up 0.1% in the first half of the year, while transportation construction (airports, transit, public rail and ports) jumped 11.7%.

The largest private category, single-family homebuilding, increased 9.0% year-to-date, while multi-family construction spending dipped 0.7%, Simonson noted. The largest private non-residential category - power construction spending (including oil and gas field and pipeline structures) - declined 0.8% in the year to date, but the next largest segment - commercial construction (comprising retail, warehouse and farm buildings) had a gain of 4.8%. Private office construction spending grew by 5.6% on a year-to-date basis.

AGC officials said that recent steps to reform the federal tax code and reduce regulatory barriers to economic growth appear to be helping boost demand for construction. But they cautioned that future growth could be hampered by growing labor shortages and by new trade tariffs affecting the price of key construction materials.

"Tax and regulatory reform are helping stimulate new demand for construction projects." Sandherr said. "But if contractors are forced to raise prices significantly to cope with rising labor and materials costs, many public and private sector clients may scale back investments in new construction projects."

 

 

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This article was published on 2 Aug 2018 (last updated on 3 Aug 2018).

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